BEIRUT  –  The Israeli military has warned Lebanese citizens not to return to 60 villages in the south of the country, three days into a ceasefire after more than a year of fighting with the Shia armed group Hezbollah. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) published a map showing a swathe of territory several miles deep, which it said residents must not return to. Anyone who did, it said, would be putting themselves in danger. More than a million Lebanese have been displaced by the fighting, mostly from the south. Tens of thousands of Israelis have also been displaced.

The truce came into effect last Wednesday morning, though officials in Israel and Lebanon have accused each other of already breaching it. Last Thursday, the IDF said its forces fired artillery and carried out air strikes against targets in southern Lebanon. It added that it had fired at suspects after spotting activity at a Hezbollah weapons facility, and vehicles arriving in several areas, which it said breached the ceasefire. Lebanon accused Israel of violating the agreement “multiple times” and said it was monitoring the situation. A multinational monitoring group which includes representatives from the US, France, and the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (Unifil) was set up as part of the ceasefire to oversee compliance with its terms. In his first interview since the ceasefire was declared, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he had instructed the IDF to wage “an intensive war” should Hezbollah commit a “massive violation” of the ceasefire. The ceasefire “can be short”, he said in the interview with Israel’s Channel 14.

Under the terms of the agreement, which was brokered by the US and France, Israeli forces will withdraw from south Lebanon as the Lebanese army deploys there simultaneously with no other armed groups allowed to operate in the area. This is meant to happen within 60 days from the start of the ceasefire. The zone which the IDF said residents should not yet return to stretches from Mansouri on the coast to Shebaa in the east. Last Wednesday, the Lebanese army warned residents not to return to areas where Israeli forces were before they had withdrawn. Israel invaded southern Lebanon at the start of last month after the IDF intensified military action against Hezbollah. Hezbollah began the current conflict with Israel by firing rockets in and around northern Israel on 8 October 2023, a day after Hamas’ unprecedented attack on Israel from Gaza which killed about 1,200 people. (BBC)

Photo: Thousands of people are reported to have begun returning to their homes in Lebanon. (Reuters)

JAMAICA – Minister of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade, Senator Kamina Johnson Smith, is leading Jamaica’s delegation to the 59th Meeting of the Caribbean Community (Caricom) Council for Trade and Economic Development (COTED) in Georgetown, Guyana. The two-day meeting which commenced Wednesday will bring together trade ministers and other officials from across the Caribbean to discuss key regional trade and economic issues such as the Caricom Single Market and Economy (CSME), the free movement of community nationals and matters affecting the regional trade in goods including requests for suspension of the Common External Tariff (CET) on specific products.

Matters relating to renewable energy, the work of the Caricom Competition Commission and the status of the Community Intellectual Property Framework are also top of the agenda for Jamaica.

“I look forward to participating in this meeting of the council as we seek to promote an increase in exports by Jamaican companies including through regional trade.  Prior to going to Guyana, the ministry convened a meeting with stakeholders from the private sector in Jamaica and we anticipate addressing their concerns over the coming days, together with some core issues affecting the wider regional private sector,” Johnson Smith said.

At the 58th meeting of COTED held in May 2024, Johnson Smith paid particular attention to matters affecting regional trade in sugar and cement, developments concerning tariff adjustments to condensed milk, the supply of frozen concentrated orange juice and refined petroleum products, among others.   Several of these matters will again be on the agenda.

Matters on the external trade agenda that the ministers will focus on at the 59th session include multilateral developments within the World Trade Organisation (WTO) as well as the Caricom-Colombia concluding negotiations for additional preferential market access within the scope of the 1994 Caricom-Colombia Trade, Economic and Technical Co-operation Agreement. (Jamaicaobserver)

Photo: Minister of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade, Senator Kamina Johnson Smith (Photo: JIS)

CARIBBEAN – Nearly three-quarters of firearms recovered in several Caribbean nations with high crime rates were manufactured in the US, according to the US’s Government Accountability Office (GAO). Almost 5,400 firearms recovered from crime scenes from 2018 to 2022 in several Caribbean nations – including Haiti, Jamaica, and Trinidad and Tobago – can be sourced back to the US, the GAO said. The GAO said they analyzed data from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) to determine that 88 percent of the recovered and traced firearms in the 25 Caribbean countries they reviewed were handguns.

Despite the lack of firearm manufacturing in the Caribbean, Haiti in particular has seen a dramatic escalation in gang-related violence in recent months, with most of the firepower used by the criminals originating in the US, the report said.

The weapons are typically smuggled through criminal networks, as CNN has previously reported. “Haiti doesn’t produce guns and ammunition, yet the gang members don’t seem to have any trouble accessing those things,” Pierre Esperance, executive director of Haiti’s National Human Rights Defense Network told CNN last May. To counter illicit gun trafficking, the US funds trainings and programs through a security cooperation partnership with thirteen Caribbean countries to “uncover criminal networks responsible for trafficking firearms.” However, the GAO report notes that the US could improve results from the partnership by establishing “specific indicators for its goal of reducing illicit firearms trafficking.” (CNN)

Photo: Haiti-bound semiautomatic weapons that were seized in Miami by Homeland Security Investigations. (Getty Images)

For most of the people of Lebanon, a ceasefire could not come quickly enough. A leading Lebanese analyst at a conference on the Middle East that I’m attending in Rome said she couldn’t sleep as the appointed hour for the ceasefire came closer. “It was like the night before Christmas when you’re a kid. I couldn’t wait for it to happen.” You can see why there’s relief. More than 3,500 citizens of Lebanon have been killed in Israeli strikes. Displaced people packed their cars before dawn to try to get back to whatever remains of their homes.

Well over one million of them have been forced to flee by Israeli military action. Thousands have been wounded and the homes of tens of thousands of others have been destroyed. But in Israel, some feel they have lost the chance to do more damage to Hezbollah.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met the heads of Israel’s northern municipalities, which have been turned into ghost towns with around 60,000 civilians evacuated further south. Israel’s Ynet news website reported that it was an angry meeting that turned into a shouting match, with some of the local officials frustrated that Israel was taking the pressure off their enemies in Lebanon and not offering an immediate plan to get civilians home. In a newspaper column, the mayor of Kiryat Shmona, close to the border, said he doubted the ceasefire would be enforced, demanding that Israel creates a buffer zone in south Lebanon. In a poll commissioned by the Israeli station Channel 12 News those questioned were roughly split between supporters and opponents of the ceasefire. Half of the participants in the survey believe Hezbollah has not been defeated and 30% think the ceasefire will collapse.